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Tapani Pulkkinen - Tikkurilan lukio
2.
In the quote Thomas
Nagel presents a rather deterministic (though not necessarily his own)
view on human freedom and decision-making. The claim is that even though
what a person does depends on his choice, the choice is not at all free
but instead a direct result from all the variables present, such as the
previous events in one’s life, one’s knowledge, personal traits and the
like. Thus, it turns out, everything can only occur in the way we witness
it; there are no other possible outcomes from the conditions that result
to the event.
The formatting of the
argument has a paradoxical feel to it. The claims that everything happens
in a set way and that a person’s actions result from choice are not
compatible, at least with the intuitive definition of choice as doing or
not doing something given both options. If there’s only one possible way
for everything to happen, firing a gun at someone is no more of a choice
than stepping on a snail you didn’t see. Also stating a variety of reasons
behind a person’s ”choice” is pointless: surely by the same logic the
circumstances leading to the event in question are barely the effect of
the same causality and a direct result of the situations prior to them.
Repeating this reduction one comes to the conclusion that everything must
be just the causal result from some kind of initial state. Thus the
seemingly varied, countless factors affecting everything turn out to be
essentially the same: seemingly different kinds of evolvants of whatever
it is that initially was. The nature or even existence of such starting
point is obviously quite a hefty assumption in itself, but it’s one that
every related model has to make in some way and thus it’s not really a
viable target for criticism against a single theory.
Considering
everything essentially the same leads to a monistic view on the world.
Usually the view is materialistic, as the existence of matter is rather
hard to discard. For determinism, materialistic monism is vital, as it’s
rather problematic trying to prove why the world would follow causality if
it was, for example, just a creation of our mind as idealists claim.
Materialist determinism, however, is often backed up with plethoras of
modern scientific findings. Neuropsychologists have, for example,
repeatedly affected subjects’ decisions, emotions and the like by simply
applying stimuli such as electricity or chemicals directly to their
brains. Thus it’s been shown that one’s thoughts and actions, often
perceived to be ’free’, are indeed at least partially affected by purely
physical matters. Also, a branch of mathematics called chaos theory has
shown that even fairly simple, causal systems or algorithms can rapidly
evolve into something seemingly undecipherable and random. This is in line
with the view presented in the quoted argument: the allegedly free
decision or action may indeed be a direct result of the situations it
occurred in, but the relation is too complex for us to understand.
However, some
phenomena in modern physics might imply that there can be no true
determinism: in quantum mechanics, the actions of particles are not
directly causal but instead random events that occur with certain
probabilities. For example, it seems that particles aren’t really
guaranteed to be in a certain place at a certain time. This means that in
theory one could observe a pen ’warp’ into an other location on one’s
desk, for example. This of course breaks causality and in turn
determinism. If one can’t assume that the same cause leads to the same
effect every time, it’s impossible to completely reliably predict the
results of anything even with information of all the variables. The
existence of chance is a key question in the free will vs. determinism
debate, and naturally one can’t expect a definite conclusion on the
matter. The quantum mechanics is a man-made model of the world, after all,
and it might not correspond perfectly with reality. As it stands, though,
it’s the most accurate one to date, and most physicists believe that
quantum effects are necessary for explaining some phenomena.
Another principle,
also a part of quantum physics, called Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle
states that no matter the quality of the measuring equipment, one can’t
get completely accurate information about a particle’s state at a given
time. It results in that even if the universe was deterministic, we
couldn’t truly predict all the events or perhaps even realise the
determinism due to the inherent imperfections in observation. Thus a
deterministic world might in fact be indistinguishable from one with
chance and free choice in it. Of course the same criticism stands: quantum
physics is not necessarily the absolute truth about the world.
Determinists also have one uncounterable argument: it just happens to seem
so due to the way everything occurs from the initial causalities. Physics
still is the model of explanation with most empirical, repeatable
evidence, though.
So, in conclusion,
even though the existence of determinism can’t obviously be rigorously
proved or disproved, the observations and theories so far seem to hint
that it’s, if not impossible, at least impossible to verify. Thus the
whole debate is fruitless, to say the least: it is possible that even with
all the information possibly available one couldn’t reach a definite
conclusion.
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